RESEARCH ON PHYSICAL FITNESS
TRAINING OF FOOTBALL PLAYERS BASED
ON IMPROVED LSTM NEURAL NETWORK
TO IMPROVE PHYSICAL ENERGY SAVING
AND HEALTH
Nengchao Pan*
Department of Basic Studies, Beihai Vocational College, Beihai, Guangxi, 536000,
China
bhzypnc@163.com
Reception: 05/11/2022 Acceptance: 06/01/2023 Publication: 02/02/2023
Suggested citation:
P., Nengchao. (2023). Research on physical tness training of football
players based on improved LSTM neural network to improve physical
energy saving and health. 3C Tecnología. Glosas de innovación aplicada a
la pyme, 12(1), 127-140. https://doi.org/10.17993/3ctecno.2023.v12n1e43.127-140
https://doi.org/10.17993/3ctecno.2023.v12n1e43.127-140
3C Tecnología. Glosas de innovación aplicadas a la pyme. ISSN: 2254-4143
Ed.43 | Iss.12 | N.1 January - March 2023
127
ABSTRACT
In order to ensure that the physical function of football players adapts to the
development of modern football level, and avoid the phenomenon of inability to adapt
to the intensity of modern football games due to lack of physical fitness. Aiming at the
physical training of football players, this paper proposes an improved long-short-term
memory network (W-LSTM) model for the optimization and prediction of physical
training. The model effectively combines the global feature extraction ability of LSTM
for time series data and the preprocessing ability of the extracted data, which reduces
the loss of feature information and achieves high prediction accuracy. The front door
is added on the basis of LSTM, which combines training and physical function to
reduce the impact of fluctuations in data outliers on the prediction results, effectively
improving the accuracy of physical training optimization and prediction, and using
body shape, exercise tolerance, exercise intensity and fitness level as input values to
conduct comparative experiments on the three models of W-LSTM, LM-BP and
ARIMA. The study found that W-LSTM has a lower mean square error (0.011) and a
higher correlation coefficient (0.985), indicating that the model proposed in this paper
is significantly better than other existing comparison models in terms of the accuracy
of prediction results.
KEYWORDS
W-LSTM; Football; Athlete; Physical fitness; Prediction model
https://doi.org/10.17993/3ctecno.2023.v12n1e43.127-140
3C Tecnología. Glosas de innovación aplicadas a la pyme. ISSN: 2254-4143
Ed.43 | Iss.12 | N.1 January - March 2023
128
ABSTRACT
In order to ensure that the physical function of football players adapts to the
development of modern football level, and avoid the phenomenon of inability to adapt
to the intensity of modern football games due to lack of physical fitness. Aiming at the
physical training of football players, this paper proposes an improved long-short-term
memory network (W-LSTM) model for the optimization and prediction of physical
training. The model effectively combines the global feature extraction ability of LSTM
for time series data and the preprocessing ability of the extracted data, which reduces
the loss of feature information and achieves high prediction accuracy. The front door
is added on the basis of LSTM, which combines training and physical function to
reduce the impact of fluctuations in data outliers on the prediction results, effectively
improving the accuracy of physical training optimization and prediction, and using
body shape, exercise tolerance, exercise intensity and fitness level as input values to
conduct comparative experiments on the three models of W-LSTM, LM-BP and
ARIMA. The study found that W-LSTM has a lower mean square error (0.011) and a
higher correlation coefficient (0.985), indicating that the model proposed in this paper
is significantly better than other existing comparison models in terms of the accuracy
of prediction results.
KEYWORDS
W-LSTM; Football; Athlete; Physical fitness; Prediction model
https://doi.org/10.17993/3ctecno.2023.v12n1e43.127-140
PAPER INDEX
ABSTRACT
KEYWORDS
1. INTRODUCTION
2. W-LSTM RELATED MODEL THEORY
2.1. Data preprocessing
2.2. Definition of the model
2.3. Training process
3. TEST AND RESULT ANALYSIS
3.1. Experiment Setup Instructions
3.2. Simulation comparison test
4. CONCLUSION
5. CONFLICT OF INTEREST
REFERENCES
https://doi.org/10.17993/3ctecno.2023.v12n1e43.127-140
3C Tecnología. Glosas de innovación aplicadas a la pyme. ISSN: 2254-4143
Ed.43 | Iss.12 | N.1 January - March 2023
129
1. INTRODUCTION
With the increasing level of football around the world, the competition is
intensifying, and the level of scientific training is also increasing. The daily training
experience of football players around the world shows that athletes in different periods
and regions follow some almost the same training principles in terms of training
content and training methods, and have some similar or even common characteristics
[1]. However, with the diversification of the world football level and training process,
this lack of training content and training methods for individual characteristics has
been unable to adapt to the inevitable laws of football development, and will inevitably
hinder the improvement of athletes' competitive ability and regional football level [2].
Therefore, while we carry out the overall general training of football players, it is
absolutely necessary to carry out individualized training for players, and it is also in
line with the general law of the development of world football.
The physical training of football players is a time series problem for improving
physical energy and health. For the prediction problem of time series, long-short term
memory neural network [3] (long-short term memory, LSTM) has been widely used in
speech recognition [4], network Flow prediction [5], pre-drilling logging curve
prediction[6], power and image prediction [7-8], toxic gas law prediction[9] and other
fields. Mao et al. proposed an LSTM model for image caption generation as early as
2015, pioneering the application of this research field in image caption generation.
Peng et al. [10] used LSTM for the prediction of generated sentences, using dual
LSTM layers to tune the parameters to improve the accuracy of sentence generation.
In 2017, some scholars proposed a new time-varying parallel recurrent neural network
for the generation of sports health image captions, which can obtain dynamic visual
and textual representations at each time step, thus solving existing methods. The
problem that currently generated words do not match the obtained image features in
[11]. In addition, some scholars have applied the attention mechanism to the
prediction of physical education innovation indicators, and found that the attention
model can effectively improve the prediction accuracy of the innovation direction of
physical education [12]. Kyunghyun et al. [13-14] proposed another gating mechanism
of Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), which is different from LSTM. The goal is to make
each recurrent unit adaptively capture the dependencies of different time scales.
Chung et al. [15] also conducted a specific study on GRU. However, this idea is also
difficult to process data in combination with abnormal fluctuations and large
fluctuations of data.
Physical fitness is one of the five basic elements of football players' competitive
ability, and it is the physical ability necessary for football players to perform their
technical and tactical skills normally and achieve excellent sports performance [16].
Physical fitness plays a pivotal role in a competitive football game. However, each
athlete's upper limit of physical fitness and reserves are not the same, so it is difficult
to excavate the limit of each athlete if the traditional unified training method is used
[17]. In this regard, this study addresses the importance of physical fitness training
using the LSTM model. However, the traditional long-term memory neural network
model has the problem of premature saturation. Therefore, considering the
https://doi.org/10.17993/3ctecno.2023.v12n1e43.127-140
3C Tecnología. Glosas de innovación aplicadas a la pyme. ISSN: 2254-4143
Ed.43 | Iss.12 | N.1 January - March 2023
130
1. INTRODUCTION
With the increasing level of football around the world, the competition is
intensifying, and the level of scientific training is also increasing. The daily training
experience of football players around the world shows that athletes in different periods
and regions follow some almost the same training principles in terms of training
content and training methods, and have some similar or even common characteristics
[1]. However, with the diversification of the world football level and training process,
this lack of training content and training methods for individual characteristics has
been unable to adapt to the inevitable laws of football development, and will inevitably
hinder the improvement of athletes' competitive ability and regional football level [2].
Therefore, while we carry out the overall general training of football players, it is
absolutely necessary to carry out individualized training for players, and it is also in
line with the general law of the development of world football.
The physical training of football players is a time series problem for improving
physical energy and health. For the prediction problem of time series, long-short term
memory neural network [3] (long-short term memory, LSTM) has been widely used in
speech recognition [4], network Flow prediction [5], pre-drilling logging curve
prediction[6], power and image prediction [7-8], toxic gas law prediction[9] and other
fields. Mao et al. proposed an LSTM model for image caption generation as early as
2015, pioneering the application of this research field in image caption generation.
Peng et al. [10] used LSTM for the prediction of generated sentences, using dual
LSTM layers to tune the parameters to improve the accuracy of sentence generation.
In 2017, some scholars proposed a new time-varying parallel recurrent neural network
for the generation of sports health image captions, which can obtain dynamic visual
and textual representations at each time step, thus solving existing methods. The
problem that currently generated words do not match the obtained image features in
[11]. In addition, some scholars have applied the attention mechanism to the
prediction of physical education innovation indicators, and found that the attention
model can effectively improve the prediction accuracy of the innovation direction of
physical education [12]. Kyunghyun et al. [13-14] proposed another gating mechanism
of Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), which is different from LSTM. The goal is to make
each recurrent unit adaptively capture the dependencies of different time scales.
Chung et al. [15] also conducted a specific study on GRU. However, this idea is also
difficult to process data in combination with abnormal fluctuations and large
fluctuations of data.
Physical fitness is one of the five basic elements of football players' competitive
ability, and it is the physical ability necessary for football players to perform their
technical and tactical skills normally and achieve excellent sports performance [16].
Physical fitness plays a pivotal role in a competitive football game. However, each
athlete's upper limit of physical fitness and reserves are not the same, so it is difficult
to excavate the limit of each athlete if the traditional unified training method is used
[17]. In this regard, this study addresses the importance of physical fitness training
using the LSTM model. However, the traditional long-term memory neural network
model has the problem of premature saturation. Therefore, considering the
https://doi.org/10.17993/3ctecno.2023.v12n1e43.127-140
improvement of the standard LSTM model, a new W-LSTM model is proposed to input
physical fitness data and physical function data to train the model to reduce the
number of different athletes. The influence of physical fitness and physical fitness on
the prediction results, so as to provide a suitable numerical basis for the training of
different athletes.
2. W-LSTM RELATED MODEL THEORY
2.1. DATA PREPROCESSING
Since the athlete's physique is affected by training and physical function, the
following definitions are made: define t as the number of training days: xi represents
the physical fitness data of the i-th day, then the input data is
, and so on, until the
last day; the physical energy fluctuation is calculated using the formula
, when i = 1, assuming that the data of the previous day is 0,
then Δ
w1 = w1, the input format for physical fitness is
, and
so on until the last day.
2.2. DEFINITION OF THE MODEL
The input to the LSTM model consists of trained and physical performance data,
i.e. using the data from the previous t days as input to predict physical performance
on day t + 1 [18]. LSTM is a special RNN structure, which was proposed by Hochreiter
et al. [19] in 1997 to decide when and how to update the hidden state of RNN. Due to
its unique design structure, LSTM can solve the gradient very well. Disappearance
problem, it is especially suitable for dealing with timing problems. Standard LSTM
units include forget, input, and output gates [20]. On the basis of LSTM, W-LSTM
processes its input information accordingly, and takes training and physical function
data as data input, and it also includes pre-gate, forget gate and output gate [21] (Fig.
1), therefore, it can process more information than a standard LSTM, and its input in
this study contains training and physical performance information.
Xi={x1x2……xt}
X2={x2x3……xt+1}
Δpi=pi−pi−1
ΔPi={Δp1Δp2……Δpt}
https://doi.org/10.17993/3ctecno.2023.v12n1e43.127-140
3C Tecnología. Glosas de innovación aplicadas a la pyme. ISSN: 2254-4143
Ed.43 | Iss.12 | N.1 January - March 2023
131
Figure 1. W-LSTM structure
Front gate, which combines body function information and function change
information to form combined information:
Among them, Xi
is the body function used to analyze the law of physical changes,
Pi is the function fluctuation information extracted from the physical energy information
as input alone to strengthen the model's processing of physical energy fluctuations,
are network parameters [22]. The output result of the tanh
activation function is between [-1, 1]. The closer the output value is to -1, the greater
the negative fluctuation; the closer the output value is to 1, the greater the positive
fluctuation. The larger the data fluctuation, the greater the impact on the training of the
W-LSTM model. On the contrary, when the fluctuation is 0, the input fluctuation data
has no effect on the training of the model. At this time, the W-LSTM model is
equivalent to the standard LSTM [23].
Forget gate is the historical state information that controls whether to “forget” [24].
Among them, ht - 1 is the hidden state of the previous sequence, and Sk
is the input
sequence of this time. Define Wf as the weighted matrix of ht - 1, Uf
as the weighted
matrix of Sk, and bf as the bias.
The Input gate is responsible for supplementing the current input to the latest
"memory". It consists of two parts: first, the Sigmoid layer outputs it; second, a Tanh
layer creates a new candidate value vector, which will be added into the state. Define
{Wt,Ut,bt}{Wa,Ua,ba} as the network parameters of the input gate, then
Then update the cell state:
C
t-1
h
t-1
σtanhσ
i
t
tanh
σ
O
t
h
t
C
t
C*
C
t
h
t
tanh
S
k
X
k
P
k
Front door
(1)
xk i px i b tanhs P
W X P×+ + ×=
W+b
{Wx,Wp,bx,bp}
(2)
ƒ
ƒ 1
ƒ
(w U b )
t f k f
h sσ
=×+×+
(3)
(4)
1
(w U b )
t t t i i t
i h sσ
=×+×+
1
*
a a a
(nh wta U b )
t k
hC s
×+×+=
https://doi.org/10.17993/3ctecno.2023.v12n1e43.127-140
3C Tecnología. Glosas de innovación aplicadas a la pyme. ISSN: 2254-4143
Ed.43 | Iss.12 | N.1 January - March 2023
132
Figure 1. W-LSTM structure
Front gate, which combines body function information and function change
information to form combined information:
Among them, Xi is the body function used to analyze the law of physical changes,
Pi is the function fluctuation information extracted from the physical energy information
as input alone to strengthen the model's processing of physical energy fluctuations,
are network parameters [22]. The output result of the tanh
activation function is between [-1, 1]. The closer the output value is to -1, the greater
the negative fluctuation; the closer the output value is to 1, the greater the positive
fluctuation. The larger the data fluctuation, the greater the impact on the training of the
W-LSTM model. On the contrary, when the fluctuation is 0, the input fluctuation data
has no effect on the training of the model. At this time, the W-LSTM model is
equivalent to the standard LSTM [23].
Forget gate is the historical state information that controls whether to “forget” [24].
Among them, ht - 1 is the hidden state of the previous sequence, and Sk is the input
sequence of this time. Define Wf as the weighted matrix of ht - 1, Uf as the weighted
matrix of Sk, and bf as the bias.
The Input gate is responsible for supplementing the current input to the latest
"memory". It consists of two parts: first, the Sigmoid layer outputs it; second, a Tanh
layer creates a new candidate value vector, which will be added into the state. Define
{Wt,Ut,bt}{Wa,Ua,ba} as the network parameters of the input gate, then
Then update the cell state:
C
t-1
h
t-1
σtanhσ
i
t
tanh
σ
O
t
h
t
C
t
C*
C
t
h
t
tanh
S
k
X
k
P
k
Front door
(1)
xk i px i b tanhs P
W X P×+ + ×=
W+b
{Wx,Wp,bx,bp}
(2)
ƒ
ƒ 1
ƒ
(w U b )
t f k f
h sσ
=×+×+
(3)
(4)
1
(w U b )
t t t i i t
i h sσ
=×+×+
1
*
a a a
(nh wta U b )
t k
hC s
×+×+=
https://doi.org/10.17993/3ctecno.2023.v12n1e43.127-140
The output gate controls how much "memory" can be used in the update of the
next layer of the network. Define
as the network parameters of the
output gate, and the calculation of the output gate can be expressed by formula 6:
After calculating Ot
, it is necessary to use the Tanh function to suppress the
memory value to [-1, 1], so the output formula of the final output gate is:
The historical information output by the last W-LSTM layer passes through a
prediction layer and outputs the result y:
2.3. TRAINING PROCESS
The training process of W-LSTM is as follows: Calculate the output value of the W-
LSTM cell according to the forward calculation formulas (1) ~ (8) [25]; Backpropagate
in two directions according to time and network level to calculate the error term;
according to the corresponding, calculate the gradient of each weight, and update the
weight; repeat (1) to (3) to obtain a set of optimal parameters and keep them. To
prevent overfitting during training, this study uses the Dropout regularization technique
[26], which was proposed by Prof. Hinton's team in 2014. Dropout provides a clever
way to increase the generalization ability of a network model by reducing weight
connections.
3. TEST AND RESULT ANALYSIS
3.1. EXPERIMENT SETUP INSTRUCTIONS
In this section, the proposed W-LSTM model will be evaluated experimentally. The
experimental environment is: INTEL Corei5 CPU, 2.80GHz; 4G memory. The
experimental data is the daily training data of a football team in Xi'an from April 2022
to May 2022. Each comparative experiment was run 10 times, and the average value
was taken.
Three comparison models are set up:
(1) W-LSTM model, input historical function information and physical fitness
fluctuation information to train the model to make predictions.
(5)
t -
*
t 1 ƒt i
iC CC ×+×=
{Wo,Uo,bo}
(6)
1
(w U b )
t o k o t o
O s hσ
=×+×+
(7)
t
tanh(C )
t t
h O=×
(8)
t
y W h b=×+
https://doi.org/10.17993/3ctecno.2023.v12n1e43.127-140
3C Tecnología. Glosas de innovación aplicadas a la pyme. ISSN: 2254-4143
Ed.43 | Iss.12 | N.1 January - March 2023
133
(2) The BP neural network improved by the LM algorithm only takes the historical
functional information as input, and uses the physical fitness information of the
previous n days to predict the physical fitness situation of the n+1th day.
(3) The ARIMA model regards the data sequence generated by physical fitness
over time as a random sequence, and uses a certain mathematical model to
approximately describe this sequence.
At the same time, in order to test the universality of the W-LSTM model, the three
models were compared using four data of body shape, exercise tolerance, exercise
intensity and fitness level.
3.2. SIMULATION COMPARISON TEST
This summary uses the W-LSTM model, the BP neural network improved by the
LM algorithm and the ARIMA model to conduct experiments, and the mean square
error (MSE) and the coefficient of determination (R2) are used to determine the
accuracy of the prediction results.
MSE and R2 are commonly used indicators to evaluate the accuracy of the model.
MSE is a measure that reflects the degree of difference between the estimator and
the estimated value. The smaller the MSE, the higher the accuracy of the model; the
larger the R2, the greater the difference between the independent variable and the
dependent variable. The higher the degree of explanation, the higher the percentage
of changes caused by independent variables in the total change, and the denser the
observation points are near the regression line, which means the higher the model fit.
Where n represents the total sample, Y_actual represents the real data, Y_predict
represents the prediction result, and Y_mean represents the average value of the real
data.
(9)
(10)
2
2
2
2
2
:
(Y_actual _predict)
:
(Y_actual _predict)
1(Y_actual _mean)
MSE
Y
MSE
n
R
Y
R
Y
=
=
https://doi.org/10.17993/3ctecno.2023.v12n1e43.127-140
3C Tecnología. Glosas de innovación aplicadas a la pyme. ISSN: 2254-4143
Ed.43 | Iss.12 | N.1 January - March 2023
134
(2) The BP neural network improved by the LM algorithm only takes the historical
functional information as input, and uses the physical fitness information of the
previous n days to predict the physical fitness situation of the n+1th day.
(3) The ARIMA model regards the data sequence generated by physical fitness
over time as a random sequence, and uses a certain mathematical model to
approximately describe this sequence.
At the same time, in order to test the universality of the W-LSTM model, the three
models were compared using four data of body shape, exercise tolerance, exercise
intensity and fitness level.
3.2. SIMULATION COMPARISON TEST
This summary uses the W-LSTM model, the BP neural network improved by the
LM algorithm and the ARIMA model to conduct experiments, and the mean square
error (MSE) and the coefficient of determination (R2) are used to determine the
accuracy of the prediction results.
MSE and R2 are commonly used indicators to evaluate the accuracy of the model.
MSE is a measure that reflects the degree of difference between the estimator and
the estimated value. The smaller the MSE, the higher the accuracy of the model; the
larger the R2, the greater the difference between the independent variable and the
dependent variable. The higher the degree of explanation, the higher the percentage
of changes caused by independent variables in the total change, and the denser the
observation points are near the regression line, which means the higher the model fit.
Where n represents the total sample, Y_actual represents the real data, Y_predict
represents the prediction result, and Y_mean represents the average value of the real
data.
(9)
(10)
2
2
2
2
2
:
(Y_actual _predict)
:
(Y_actual _predict)
1(Y_actual _mean)
MSE
Y
MSE
n
R
Y
R
Y
=
=
https://doi.org/10.17993/3ctecno.2023.v12n1e43.127-140
Figure 2. W-LSTM prediction results
By modeling and predicting the physical function sequence, Figures 2 and 3 are the
comparison between the prediction results obtained by the W-LSTM model and the
ARIMA model and the actual data. Obviously, for the W-LSTM model, the
experimental value and the predicted value are extremely coincident and very close,
which shows that the W-LSTM model proposed in this study has better prediction
results.
By observing the data in Figure 3, it is found that the experimental results of the
ARIMA model deviate significantly from other models, the coincidence rate between
the experimental values and the predicted values is low, and R2 is even less than 0,
which means that the predicted results have nothing to do with the original data. The
ARIMA model performs well when dealing with stationary time series. When the data
is not stationary, a stationary sequence needs to be obtained through a certain
processing method. The physical function data used in this experiment has
continuous invariance and mutation, that is, continuous invariance within a period of
time. Change, the initial stage gradually increases, this characteristic leads to the loss
of too much information when the data is differentiated, resulting in an extremely poor
prediction effect of the ARIMA model and a large deviation.
0 10 20 30 40 50
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Functional fitness coefficient
t (d)
Measured
predict
https://doi.org/10.17993/3ctecno.2023.v12n1e43.127-140
3C Tecnología. Glosas de innovación aplicadas a la pyme. ISSN: 2254-4143
Ed.43 | Iss.12 | N.1 January - March 2023
135
Figure 3. ARIMA model prediction results
After the training, the input data is used for prediction, and the MSE of the W-LSTM
model and the BP neural network improved by the LM algorithm changes as the
prediction progresses, as shown in Figure 4. The MSE of the W-LSTM model is 0.032,
the MSE of the LM-BP model is 0.059, and the MSE of the ARIMA model is 0.923.
The MSE of the W-LSTM model is smaller than other models, and the model has the
highest accuracy; while R is larger than other models, which means that the fitting
degree of the W-LSTM model is higher than that of other models. In general, the MSE
trends of the two models are roughly the same, and the MSE of the W-LSTM model is
generally smaller than the MSE of the BP neural network improved by the LM
algorithm [27].
Figure 4. W-LSTM model and BP neural network improved by LM algorithm
Changes in MSE
0 10 20 30 40 50
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Functional fitness coefficient
t (d)
Measured
predict
0 10 20 30 40 50
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.10
0.12
0.14
0.16
0.18
0.20
Functional fitness coefficient
t (d)
Measured
predict
https://doi.org/10.17993/3ctecno.2023.v12n1e43.127-140
3C Tecnología. Glosas de innovación aplicadas a la pyme. ISSN: 2254-4143
Ed.43 | Iss.12 | N.1 January - March 2023
136
Figure 3. ARIMA model prediction results
After the training, the input data is used for prediction, and the MSE of the W-LSTM
model and the BP neural network improved by the LM algorithm changes as the
prediction progresses, as shown in Figure 4. The MSE of the W-LSTM model is 0.032,
the MSE of the LM-BP model is 0.059, and the MSE of the ARIMA model is 0.923.
The MSE of the W-LSTM model is smaller than other models, and the model has the
highest accuracy; while R is larger than other models, which means that the fitting
degree of the W-LSTM model is higher than that of other models. In general, the MSE
trends of the two models are roughly the same, and the MSE of the W-LSTM model is
generally smaller than the MSE of the BP neural network improved by the LM
algorithm [27].
Figure 4. W-LSTM model and BP neural network improved by LM algorithm
Changes in MSE
0 10 20 30 40 50
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Functional fitness coefficient
t (d)
Measured
predict
0 10 20 30 40 50
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.10
0.12
0.14
0.16
0.18
0.20
Functional fitness coefficient
t (d)
Measured
predict
https://doi.org/10.17993/3ctecno.2023.v12n1e43.127-140
The input data fluctuates greatly at one-third of the total data, and at this time, the
MSE of both models has a short-term increase, while the MSE fluctuation of the W-
LSTM model is smaller than that of the BP neural network improved by the LM
algorithm. This shows that the W-LSTM model has a better effect on handling large
fluctuations in data. In order to verify the universality of the W-LSTM model, four kinds
of data of body shape, exercise tolerance, exercise intensity and health level are used
as input to carry out comparative experiments on the three models. The experimental
results are shown in Table 1. The table shows the evaluation index of the prediction
results of the three models on the four factors respectively. It can be seen that W-
LSTM has better results than other models, and it shows that the W-LSTM model has
good universality [28-29].
Table 1. MSE and R2comparison
It can be seen from the above experiments that the W-LSTM model has higher
accuracy, better fitting degree and good universality. On the whole, W-LSTM is a good
prediction model for the physical fitness prediction problem of football players.
4. CONCLUSION
This paper proposes a physical fitness prediction method for football players based
on the W-LSTM network model. The model is mainly constructed by LSTM, which can
effectively extract the local and global features of influencing factors. After data
analysis and variable reordering based on the maximum information coefficient
method, making the data distribution more regular and easy to train. The research
compares the prediction results of W-LSTM, LM-BP, and ARIMA models. The
experimental results show that: (1) the prediction accuracy of W-LSTM is significantly
better than other methods LM-BP and ARIMA models; (2) W-LSTM has lower MSE
and higher R2 compared to the other two models, the correlation coefficient of its
body shape reaches 0.985; (3) The LSTM is improved to become W-LSTM, and it is
of practical value to apply it to the physical fitness prediction of football players.
MSE
Model Body shape Exercise tolerance Exercise intensity Fitness level
W-LSTM 0.074 0.031 0.137 0.011
LM-BP 0.163 0.048 0.238 0.017
ARIMA 3.244 -0.891 4.618 0.9048
R2
W-LSTM 0.985 0.867 0.904 0.935
LM-BP 0.967 0.793 0.833 0.919
ARIMA 0.317 -2.442 -2.191 -2.771
https://doi.org/10.17993/3ctecno.2023.v12n1e43.127-140
3C Tecnología. Glosas de innovación aplicadas a la pyme. ISSN: 2254-4143
Ed.43 | Iss.12 | N.1 January - March 2023
137
5. CONFLICT OF INTEREST
The authors declared that there is no conflict of interest.
REFERENCES
(1) Bangsbo, J., Mohr, M., & Krustrup, P. (2006). Physical and metabolic
demands of training and match-play in the elite football player. J Sports Sci,
24(7), 665-674. https://doi.org/10.1080/02640410500482529
(2) Bangsbo, J., Mohr, M., & Krustrup, P. Bangsbo J, Mohr M, Krustrup P. (2006).
Physical and metabolic demands of training and match-play in the elite
football player. Journal of Sports Sciences, 24(7), 665-674. https://doi.org/
10.1080/02640410500482529
(3) Chen, Y., Wang, L., Hu, J., & Ye, M. (2020). Vision-Based Fall Event Detection
in Complex Background Using Attention Guided Bi-directional LSTM.
https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2020.3021795
(4) Gao, M., Li, J., Hong, F., & Long, D. (2019). Day-ahead power forecasting in a
large-scale photovoltaic plant based on weather classification using LSTM.
Energy, 187, 115838.115831-115838.115812. https://doi.org/10.1016/
j.energy.2019.07.168
(5) Li, L., Yang, Y., Yuan, Z., & Chen, Z. (2021). A spatial-temporal approach for
traffic status analysis and prediction based on Bi-LSTM structure. Modern
Physics Letters B, 35(31). https://doi.org/10.1142/S0217984921504819
(6) Petridis, S., Li, Z., & Pantic, M. (2017). End-To-End Visual Speech
Recognition With LSTMs. IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICASSP.2017.7952625
(7) Li, Y., Ye, F., Liu, Z., Wang, Z., & Mao, Y. (2021). A Short-Term Photovoltaic
Power Generation Forecast Method Based on LSTM. Mathematical Problems
in Engineering. https://doi.org/10.1155/2021/6613123
(8) Shen, Y., Shao, P., Chen, G., Gu, X., & Zhu, J. (2021). An identification
method of anti-electricity theft load based on long and short-term memory
network. Procedia Computer Science, 183(8), 440-447. https://doi.org/10.1016/
j.procs.2021.02.082
(9) Ren, Y., Wang, J., Yang, C., Xiao, C., & Li, S. (2021). Wind and Solar
Integrated Power Prediction Method Research Based on DT-CWT and
LSTM. Journal of Physics Conference Series, 1754(1), 012008. https://doi.org/
10.1088/1742-6596/1754/1/012008
(10) Peng, Y., Liu, X., Wang, W., Zhao, X., & Wei, M. (2019). Image caption model
of double LSTM with scene factors. Image and Vision Computing, 86(JUN.),
38-44. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.imavis.2019.03.003
(11) Qian, F., Chen, L., Li, J., Ding, C., & Wang, J. (2019). Direct Prediction of the
Toxic Gas Diffusion Rule in a Real Environment Based on LSTM.
International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 16(12),
2133. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph16122133
(12) Zhou, L., & Bian, X. (2019). Improved text sentiment classification method
based on BiGRU-Attention. Journal of Physics: Conference Series, 1345(3),
032097. https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/1345/3/032097
https://doi.org/10.17993/3ctecno.2023.v12n1e43.127-140
3C Tecnología. Glosas de innovación aplicadas a la pyme. ISSN: 2254-4143
Ed.43 | Iss.12 | N.1 January - March 2023
138
5. CONFLICT OF INTEREST
The authors declared that there is no conflict of interest.
REFERENCES
(1) Bangsbo, J., Mohr, M., & Krustrup, P. (2006). Physical and metabolic
demands of training and match-play in the elite football player. J Sports Sci,
24(7), 665-674. https://doi.org/10.1080/02640410500482529
(2) Bangsbo, J., Mohr, M., & Krustrup, P. Bangsbo J, Mohr M, Krustrup P. (2006).
Physical and metabolic demands of training and match-play in the elite
football player. Journal of Sports Sciences, 24(7), 665-674. https://doi.org/
10.1080/02640410500482529
(3) Chen, Y., Wang, L., Hu, J., & Ye, M. (2020). Vision-Based Fall Event Detection
in Complex Background Using Attention Guided Bi-directional LSTM.
https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2020.3021795
(4) Gao, M., Li, J., Hong, F., & Long, D. (2019). Day-ahead power forecasting in a
large-scale photovoltaic plant based on weather classification using LSTM.
Energy, 187, 115838.115831-115838.115812. https://doi.org/10.1016/
j.energy.2019.07.168
(5) Li, L., Yang, Y., Yuan, Z., & Chen, Z. (2021). A spatial-temporal approach for
traffic status analysis and prediction based on Bi-LSTM structure. Modern
Physics Letters B, 35(31). https://doi.org/10.1142/S0217984921504819
(6) Petridis, S., Li, Z., & Pantic, M. (2017). End-To-End Visual Speech
Recognition With LSTMs. IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICASSP.2017.7952625
(7) Li, Y., Ye, F., Liu, Z., Wang, Z., & Mao, Y. (2021). A Short-Term Photovoltaic
Power Generation Forecast Method Based on LSTM. Mathematical Problems
in Engineering. https://doi.org/10.1155/2021/6613123
(8) Shen, Y., Shao, P., Chen, G., Gu, X., & Zhu, J. (2021). An identification
method of anti-electricity theft load based on long and short-term memory
network. Procedia Computer Science, 183(8), 440-447. https://doi.org/10.1016/
j.procs.2021.02.082
(9) Ren, Y., Wang, J., Yang, C., Xiao, C., & Li, S. (2021). Wind and Solar
Integrated Power Prediction Method Research Based on DT-CWT and
LSTM. Journal of Physics Conference Series, 1754(1), 012008. https://doi.org/
10.1088/1742-6596/1754/1/012008
(10) Peng, Y., Liu, X., Wang, W., Zhao, X., & Wei, M. (2019). Image caption model
of double LSTM with scene factors. Image and Vision Computing, 86(JUN.),
38-44. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.imavis.2019.03.003
(11) Qian, F., Chen, L., Li, J., Ding, C., & Wang, J. (2019). Direct Prediction of the
Toxic Gas Diffusion Rule in a Real Environment Based on LSTM.
International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 16(12),
2133. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph16122133
(12) Zhou, L., & Bian, X. (2019). Improved text sentiment classification method
based on BiGRU-Attention. Journal of Physics: Conference Series, 1345(3),
032097. https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/1345/3/032097
https://doi.org/10.17993/3ctecno.2023.v12n1e43.127-140
(13) Tian, X., & Li, J. (2019). A novel improved fruit fly optimization algorithm for
aerodynamic shape design optimization. Knowledge Based Systems,
179(SEP.1), 77-91. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.knosys.2019.05.005.
(14) Zhang, F. (2019). Research on Improving Prediction Accuracy of Sports
Performance by Using Glowworm Algorithm to Optimize Neural Network.
International Journal of Information and Education Technology, 9(4), 302-305.
https://doi.org/10.18178/ijiet.2019.9.4.1216
(15) Rosenfeld, P. J., Brown, D. M., Heier, J. S., Boyer, D. S., Kaiser, P. K., Chung, C.
Y., Group, M. S. (2004). Ranibizumab for neovascular age-related macular
degeneration. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ajo.2005.02.003
(16) Krustrup, P., Mohr, M., & Bangsbo, J. (2002). Activity profile and
physiological demands of top-class soccer assistant refereeing in relation
to training status. J Sports, 20(11), 861-871. https://doi.org/
10.1080/026404102320761778
(17) Dooman, C. S., & Jones, D. (2009). Down, But Not Out: In-Season
Resistance Training for the Injured Collegiate Football Player. Strength &
Conditioning Journal, 31(5), 59-68. https://doi.org/10.1519/
ssc.0b013e3181b9983e
(18) A, C. W., A, X. W., Jz, A., Liang, Z. A., Xiao, B. A., Xin, N. B., Ehd, A. (2021).
Uncertainty Estimation for Stereo Matching Based on Evidential Deep
Learning. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.patcog.2021.108498
(19) Zohali, H., Naderi, B., & Mohammadi, M. (2019). The economic lot scheduling
problem in limited-buffer flexible flow shops: Mathematical models and a
discrete fruit fly algorithm. Applied Soft Computing. https://doi.org/10.1016/
j.asoc.2019.03.054
(20) Cai, W., Zhai, B., Liu, Y., Liu, R., & Ning, X. (2021). Quadratic polynomial
guided fuzzy C-means and dual attention mechanism for medical image
segmentation. Displays, 70, 102106. https://doi.org/10.1016/
j.displa.2021.102106
(21) Miao, J., Wang, Z., Ning, X., Xiao, N., Cai, W., & Liu, R. (2022). Practical and
secure multifactor authentication protocol for autonomous vehicles in 5G.
Software: Practice and Experience. https://doi.org/10.1002/SPE.3087
(22) Ning, X., Duan, P., Li, W., & Zhang, S. (2020). Real-time 3D face alignment
using an encoder-decoder network with an efficient deconvolution layer.
IEEE Signal Processing Letters, 27, 1944-1948. https://doi.org/doi.org/10.1109/
LSP.2020.3032277
(23) Ying, L., Nan, Z. Q., Ping, W. F., Kiang, C. T., Pang, L. K., Chang, Z. H., Nam, L.
(2021). Adaptive weights learning in CNN feature fusion for crime scene
investigation image classification. Connection Science. https://doi.org/
10.1080/09540091.2021.1875987
(24) Ning, X., Gong, K., Li, W., & Zhang, L. (2021). JWSAA: joint weak saliency
and attention aware for person re-identification. Neurocomputing, 453,
801-811. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.neucom.2020.05.106
(25) Yan, C., Pang, G., Bai, X., Liu, C., Xin, N., Gu, L., & Zhou, J. (2021). Beyond
triplet loss: person re-identification with fine-grained difference-aware
https://doi.org/10.17993/3ctecno.2023.v12n1e43.127-140
3C Tecnología. Glosas de innovación aplicadas a la pyme. ISSN: 2254-4143
Ed.43 | Iss.12 | N.1 January - March 2023
139
pairwise loss. IEEE Transactions on Multimedia. https://doi.org/10.1109/
TMM.2021.3069562
(26) Connor, J. T., Martin, R. D., & Atlas, L. E. (2002). Recurrent neural networks
and robust time series prediction. IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks,
5(2), 240-254. https://doi.org/10.1109/72.279188
(27) Yu, Z., Li, S., Sun, L. N. U., Liu, L., & Haining, W. Multi-distribution noise
quantisation: an extreme compression scheme for transformer according
to parameter distribution. https://doi.org/10.1080/09540091.2021.2024510
(28) Frayssinet, M., Esenarro, D., Juárez, F. F., y Díaz, M. (2021). Methodology
based on the NIST cybersecurity framework as a proposal for
cybersecurity management in government organizations. 3C TIC.
Cuadernos de desarrollo aplicados a las TIC, 10(2), 123-141. https://doi.org/
10.17993/3ctic.2021.102.123-141
(29) Zhang Min, Lu Xuewen, Hoffman Ettiene, Kharabsheh Radwan & Xiao
Qianghua. (2022). Radioactive source search problem and optimisation
model based on meta-heuristic algorithm. Applied Mathematics and
Nonlinear Sciences, 7 (2), 601-630. https://doi.org/10.2478/
AMNS.2021.2.00159.
https://doi.org/10.17993/3ctecno.2023.v12n1e43.127-140
3C Tecnología. Glosas de innovación aplicadas a la pyme. ISSN: 2254-4143
Ed.43 | Iss.12 | N.1 January - March 2023
140